IT Services M&A: When to Sell, and Why “One More Year” Rarely Pays

IT Services M&A: When to Sell, and Why “One More Year” Rarely Pays

How to tell whether waiting will build value or quietly erode it, and the readiness signals buyers actually reward.

In IT services M&A, the most expensive decision is usually the one that feels safest. Wait one more year. Land the contract that is nearly closed, make the key hire, get the concentration down, and go to market from a stronger position. Sometimes that is exactly right. Just as often it is a plan that requires everything to go right, and there is always another reason to wait.

The part owners tend to skip is who is carrying the risk while they wait. For that extra year, you are. You are betting that the market stays open to a business like yours, that the team stays intact, that no client leaves, and that no macro event arrives on its own schedule. The upside of waiting is one line in a plan. The downside is a list, and it is all yours.

So the sharper question is not how much more the business could be worth next year. It is whether you and the business are ready to sell now, and what it would actually take to change that answer.

Why do IT services founders delay a sale?

Most delays trace back to one belief: next year will be worth more. Some versions of that are legitimate. Fixing something that would distort deal structure is worth doing before you go to market. So is a near-term move to clean up profit, even though profit alone rarely moves a valuation as much as owners expect. Those are bounded delays with a defined finish line.

The risky ones are open-ended. Win the next big contract, optimise headcount, bring the concentration down, hire the operations leader, and then we will be ready. Each item is reasonable on its own. Together they form a queue that regenerates, because a growing business always produces a new next thing worth waiting for.

Underneath the delay there is usually a misunderstanding about how a deal is priced. Many owners plan around getting to year end with optimised profit, on the assumption that the deal will trade on a trailing twelve month multiple. That is not how it works. A deal is priced on a fulsome valuation, which means the buyer weighs three to five years of history, your forward projections, the quality of the revenue underneath them, and comparable transactions. One strong year inside a flat five does not carry a process. A single soft year inside a strong five does not sink one either.

The wider mergers and acquisitions market moves on its own cycle, and IT services moves on a cycle of its own inside that. Neither one is going to wait for your plan. Knowing when it is time to sell has less to do with catching a perfect quarter than with readiness you can prove on any given day.

Is waiting one more year worth the risk?

Sometimes, but rarely on the terms owners have in mind. Every year of expected upside carries a matching downside: a market headwind, a lost contract, a key employee who resigns. Growth also gets harder rather than easier. Putting another 20% on the business five years from now takes more investment than it took the first time, because you are adding it to a bigger base with a more complex organisation underneath it.

Five questions compared between selling now from a position of strength and waiting one more year: who carries the risk, what the valuation is based on, how buyers perceive the business, what happens if a client or key hire leaves, and exposure to market timing.
Question Sell now, from strength Wait one more year
Who carries the risk Transferred to the buyer at today’s value You carry 100% of the downside
What sets the price A fulsome valuation: three to five years, forward projections, comparable deals A hoped-for trailing multiple that has not happened yet
What the buyer sees A well-run business, demonstrably ready now Unproven projections, and deeper diligence to test them
If a client or key hire leaves Priced into a process already in motion Can erase the gain you waited for, and then some
Market timing You act while the window is open You are betting the window stays open

There is an operating principle that covers both cases and costs you nothing either way. Run the business as though you will own it forever, and keep it in a condition where you could sell it at any time. Those two things are not in tension. Everything that makes a business sellable also makes it a better business to own, which is why this work is worth doing whether you exit next year or in ten.

How do you reduce founder dependency before a sale?

A buyer wants a machine, not a person. That is the whole idea in one sentence, and it is the single largest lever most founder-led IT services firms have.

The pattern is familiar because it is how these businesses get built. A founder starts out wearing every hat: sales, delivery, hiring, finance. The ones who scale well work out at some point that their number one job is leadership rather than any single function, and they start grooming other leaders and turning the roles they used to hold into documented, repeatable processes with the data and systems to support them. A role that only works because a specific person is in it is a person. A role with a process, a system and a second name attached to it is an asset.

The test we come back to is blunt. Could you switch your phone off for a month and come back to a business that ran well without you? If you are mission critical to sales, to delivery, or to finance, a buyer sees concentrated risk and your options narrow. That does not mean stepping back from everything. It means being deliberate about which functions still route through you, and closing those gaps in order of how much a buyer would discount them. For most firms the first move is an operations leader or COO who genuinely owns the day to day.

This is also where selling in and selling out diverge. Selling out is a clean exit, and a buyer will scrutinise founder dependency hard, because whatever depends on you is walking out with you. Selling in means rolling equity and staying on to lead the next chapter, which softens the question but does not remove it. Either way the work is the same, and it takes longer than most owners think.

What does succession planning look like in IT services M&A?

A real plan, documented and executable, with named people against named functions. Not a vague someday plan.

Any business of meaningful size should have one regardless of whether a transaction is anywhere in view. It is basic governance. None of us knows the day we step away, and a plan somebody could take out of a drawer and follow is the difference between a bad month and an existential one. In a transaction it stops being good practice and becomes a document a buyer reads closely.

What a buyer looks for is specific: named interim leaders, clear ownership of the critical functions, and evidence that the founder has already started working their way out of a job rather than describing an intention to. If you are selling out, the plan is what tells the buyer the engine keeps running once you are gone. If you are selling in, it does something slightly different. It reassures them that you were building continuity rather than dependency all along.

Rolled equity does the rest of that work. The fear on the other side of the table is easy to state: the founder receives life-changing money at close and quietly disengages. An owner who keeps meaningful skin in the game through rollover equity has answered that before it is asked.

How do you de-risk an IT services company before going to market?

De-risking the business means removing what a buyer would otherwise flag and discount. Three areas carry most of the weight.

Customer concentration. When one or two clients account for 50% to 70% of revenue, buyers treat it as risk to be priced rather than a relationship to be admired. Broadening the base takes real sales effort and real time, which is precisely why it belongs in the readiness window rather than in the middle of a process.

Contracts. Assignability and clean change-of-control terms are what let a buyer keep your top clients after close. Handshake arrangements with your best customers are a strength in the business and a liability in the deal, and that contradiction surprises owners every time.

Bench depth. The leadership and delivery talent that proves the firm is not one person. This is the same work as reducing founder dependency, viewed from the buyer’s side of the table.

Recurring revenue sits underneath all three. Contracted revenue at 70% to 80% of the mix with renewals above 90% is the profile that signals the durable cash flows buyers underwrite. None of this is only about the sale. Each of these moves makes a healthier business, which is the honest reason to do them and also exactly what drives the valuation of an IT services company.

Five value drivers in IT services, showing what lifts the valuation and what compresses it for each: recurring revenue, customer concentration, contracts, leadership, and planning.
Value driver Lifts the valuation Compresses it
Recurring revenue 70% to 80% contracted, renewals above 90% Project-heavy, re-won every year
Customer concentration Diversified base, no single client dominating One or two clients at 50% to 70% of revenue
Contracts Assignable, with clear change-of-control terms Handshake terms, no assignability
Leadership Bench depth, runs without the founder Founder mission critical to a function
Planning A documented, executable succession plan A vague someday plan

Multiples do step up with scale, and moving from one band to the next is the real work of a structured readiness process, which typically runs 12 to 24 months. Be careful what you do with any specific range you are quoted, including ours. A multiple is a way to benchmark an approximate value. It is not a valuation, and treating a number you read somewhere as your price is the same mistake as anchoring on what a friend of a friend sold for.

How do you know when it is actually time to sell?

You know it is time when a current, credible valuation clears what you personally need. Which means you have to know two numbers, and most owners know neither.

The first is what the business is worth today. You should know that at least annually. It is good corporate hygiene in the same way an audit is, and not knowing it is a reason to start a conversation rather than a reason to postpone one. The second is what you need, and that one is not enterprise value. It is what actually reaches your account after fees, debt payoff, escrow, any working capital true-up, and whatever portion is rolled or held back in an earnout. Owners who conflate the two are often disappointed by a deal that was, on its own terms, a good one.

Once you know both, the decision stops being a mood and becomes a sequence. These are the four gates, in order.

The readiness gate

Work down in order. The first gate you cannot clear is your actual project, and it is a better use of the next twelve months than waiting.

  1. Could you switch your phone off for a month?No. You are the risk a buyer is pricing. Start with the function that would fail first, usually with an operations leader who owns the day to day.Yes. The business is an asset rather than a job. Go to gate two.
  2. Is there a written succession plan with names in it?No. Write it this quarter. Named interim leaders against named critical functions. A plan you describe out loud is not a plan a buyer can read.Yes. Continuity is documented. Go to gate three.
  3. Do you know your number, and is it current?No. Get a baseline valuation. Not knowing your number is the most common reason owners wait, and it is the one that resolves fastest.Yes. You have a stage gate instead of a guess. Go to gate four.
  4. Does that number clear what you actually need, after fees and structure?No. Now you have a target and a runway, which is a plan. Keep operating, and work the value drivers rather than the calendar.Yes. You are ready. From here, waiting is a bet rather than a plan, and you should take it knowingly.

Four gates. The first one you cannot clear tells you what the next twelve months are for.

Owners who know their number make better decisions on everything else, because every operational call gets a scoreboard. Hiring, contract terms, profit distributions, capital investment, and timing all read differently once you can see what they do to enterprise value. The sell-side process itself typically runs six to twelve months from engagement to close, and readiness is built well before you get anywhere near that.

Then there is the part that is not a business question at all. How much longer do you want to work, and at what. Whether you want to keep growing this inside something bigger or exit in an orderly way. And whether it is time to de-risk your own balance sheet, because for most founders this company is by a wide margin their single largest asset, and having your entire net worth inside one privately held business is a concentration risk you would never accept in a portfolio.

Gate three

Not knowing your number is a reason to start, not a reason to wait.

A current baseline against real market comparables, so the next twelve months have a target instead of a hope.

Run the valuation calculator →

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What should you do this week?

Three things, none of which commits you to anything.

  1. Write down who advises you. Peer group members, your attorney and accountant, and at least one M&A advisor who works in IT services. Build those relationships before you need them, not during a process.
  2. List your leadership team, then read it as an outsider. How many names appear, and would each of them stand up under a buyer’s questioning? If one name carries three functions, you have found your first project.
  3. Pull your top customer contracts and look for two words. Assignability and change of control. If a buyer read these today, how much of your revenue would they treat as portable, and how much as at risk?

Revenue Rocket is a sell-side and buy-side M&A advisory firm with 25+ years in the sector. We work exclusively with IT services companies: MSPs, cybersecurity, cloud, custom application development, and VARs.

Timing an exit is the hardest call an owner makes, and nobody rings a bell at the top. It gets considerably easier when your number is never a surprise, your plan is written down, and the business would carry on for a month without you. Get those three right and the timing question mostly answers itself.

Wondering whether this is the year, or whether it should not be?

Schedule a confidential conversation →

We will talk through your goals, your timing, and what your business could command in today’s market.

Mike, Ryan, and Matt work through the one more year trap in full on Shoot the Moon, including the succession planning conversation behind the readiness gate above.

IT services M&A timing: frequently asked questions

When is the best time to sell an MSP or IT services company?

Usually when the business is running well and is least dependent on you, which is often earlier than owners expect. Selling from strength gives you leverage and choices; waiting for one more year moves all of the downside onto your side of the table. The exception is a bounded fix with a defined finish line, such as repairing something that would distort deal structure.

Does waiting one more year increase my valuation?

Sometimes, but not reliably, and not for the reason most owners think. A deal is priced on a fulsome valuation across three to five years rather than a single trailing multiple, so one strong year moves the number less than expected while one lost contract or one departing leader can erase the gain entirely.

How long does it take to prepare an IT services company for sale?

Plan on 12 to 24 months of readiness work, then roughly six to twelve months to run the process from engagement to close. Concentration and bench depth are the two items that genuinely need the full runway, because both are solved by hiring and selling rather than by paperwork.

What is founder dependency, and why does it lower value?

It is when the business relies on the owner for a critical function such as sales, delivery, or finance. Buyers want a machine rather than a person, so dependency reads as risk that leaves with you at close, which narrows your options and pressures the multiple. The month-long test is the quickest self-diagnosis.

What does succession planning mean in IT services M&A?

A documented, executable plan with named interim leaders against named critical functions, not a vague someday plan. Every business of size should have one as governance. In a recap or a sell-in, rolled equity does the other half of the job by keeping the founder invested after close.

How much customer concentration is too much?

Once one or two clients reach roughly 50% to 70% of revenue, buyers price it as risk. Some concentration is near universal in IT services and is not disqualifying on its own; what matters is the trend, the contract terms underneath those clients, and how deeply the relationship sits with the founder rather than the firm.

How often should I get my IT services business valued?

At least once a year. An annual valuation is good corporate hygiene and it works as a stage gate for decisions on hiring, contracts, distributions, and timing. It also means that when an unsolicited approach arrives, you are responding from a position of information rather than flattery.

What EBITDA multiple do IT services companies sell for?

Ranges vary by size, by segment, and above all by the value drivers above, and any figure you see quoted is a benchmark rather than a price. A multiple is a way to approximate a range; it is not a valuation, and two firms at identical EBITDA can trade far apart on recurring revenue quality, concentration, and bench depth alone. Get a current baseline on your own numbers instead of anchoring on a band.